Williams says “The banks are still not healthy. . . . The Fed is still fighting the battle it effectively lost in 2008. Mr. Trump has several problems. One is the economy. One is the long term budget deficit, and the third is the Federal Reserve. The Fed lost control of the system. The system effectively collapsed. They haven’t been able to bring it back to normal.”
Would Donald Trump simply default on the U.S. debt if countries around the world dump U.S. Treasury bonds? Williams says, “That would be an act of default. You don’t want to do that. What Trump needs to do is address the long term solvency issues of the United States. Then he can convince people that, yes, we are going to be able to handle this, and at the same time, take action to stimulate the economy. That could be very bullish for the dollar fundamentally. . . . If they want this to work and save the system, and Mr. Trump will come out of this with his face on Mount Rushmore if he does, he’s got to turn the economy. To do that, he needs to increase government spending in areas that would help stimulate the economy. He’s got to cut taxes, and that is in the works in some form. As part of the process, there very likely will be a widening of the budget deficit, which could kill the dollar and kill people holding Treasuries.”
Williams says Trump must address the “long term solvency of the United States.” Williams goes on to say, “If he does this, the rest of the world will say, boy, they brought things under control, and they would be happy to own the Treasury bonds. I don’t know if this can be done, but this is what you got to do.”
If Trump does not succeed, Williams says, “The problem will be with the dollar. If the system is not brought under control, the rest of the world is going to dump the dollar. . . . The underlying fundamentals have not changed. The U.S. dollar is, in the long term, insolvent. What has changed here is that there is a chance that the Trump Administration can correct it. As far as I can see, this (Trump) is the last chance to correct it.”
Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with Economist John Williams, founder of ShadowStats.com.
(There is much more in the video interview.)
After the Interview:
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